Home » Nuggets vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 16, 2023

Nuggets vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 16, 2023

The Detroit Pistons (16-54) will need a big game out of top scorer Jaden Ivey (15.4 ppg) if they want to stay with the favored Denver Nuggets (46-23). Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets are double-digit favorites (-15) against the Pistons on March 16, 2023. The over/under for the matchup is 230.

Nuggets vs. Pistons Odds

  • Nuggets odds to win: -1401
  • Pistons odds to win: +815
  • Spread: Nuggets (-15)
  • Total: 230

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Thursday, March 16, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan
  • TV: BSDET and ALT

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Pistons?

Nuggets and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Pistons have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 15 points or more this season (0-1).

The two teams average a combined 2.0 fewer points per game (228) than this matchup’s total of 230 points.

Denver and Detroit have seen its opponents average a combined 1.8 more points per game than the point total of 230 set in this game.

The average point total for Nuggets games this season is the same as the total of 230 in this matchup.

The average point total for Detroit this year is 0.2 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Denver is 36-31-2 against the spread this season.

The Pistons are 31-38-1 ATS this year.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 3.6 points per game with a +251 scoring differential overall. They put up 116.8 points per game (seventh in the NBA) and allow 113.2 per outing (13th in the league).

The 42.9 rebounds per game the Nuggets average rank 17th in the NBA, and are 2.6 more than the 40.3 their opponents grab per contest.

Denver knocks down 12.1 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) at a 38.7% rate (second-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.5 its opponents make while shooting 34.9% from beyond the arc.

The Nuggets average 117.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (first in the league), and allow 113.4 points per 100 possessions (19th in the NBA).

The Nuggets have scored at a much higher clip when playing at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (120.6 at home versus 112.7 on the road), though they have given up fewer points at home than on the road (110.1 opponent points per home game versus 116.5 on the road).

Pistons Stats & Insights

The Pistons have a -515 scoring differential, falling short by 7.4 points per game. They’re putting up 111.2 points per game, 28th in the league, and are giving up 118.6 per outing to rank 29th in the NBA.

Detroit comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.0 boards. It collects 42.8 rebounds per game (18th in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.8.

The Pistons connect on 11.5 three-pointers per game (19th in the league), while their opponents have made 12.0 on average.

The Pistons average 108.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (28th in league), and give up 115.5 points per 100 possessions (27th in NBA).

At home Detroit is putting up 113.2 points per game, 4.1 more than it is averaging away (109.1).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

The Nuggets get 24.7 points, 11.9 rebounds and 10.0 assists from Jokic.

The Nuggets get 3.0 three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while Aaron Gordon compiles 0.8 rejections per contest.

Pistons Key Players to Watch

Ivey pours in 15.4 points per game. He also adds 3.9 rebounds per outing and 4.9 assists per contest.

This season, Jalen Duren has a statline of 8.7 points, 1.1 assists and 8.8 rebounds per game.

Ivey averages 1.4 made threes per game.

The Pistons’ defensive effort gets a boost from Killian Hayes’ 1.4 steals and Duren’s 0.9 blocks per game.

Nuggets vs. Pistons Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Pistons (+ 15)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (230)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 120 – Pistons 110

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