Home » Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

The Dallas Mavericks (29-23) welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (35-16) to American Airlines Center Saturday. Tip is set for 3 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Thunder lead 1-0.

The Mavericks lost to the Thunder 126-120 at home Dec. 2, failing to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. They are 27-25 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 3-0 ATS in their last 3. Dallas has won 3 straight and 4 of its last 6. It is coming off a 122-108 road win over the New York Knicks Thursday, covering as a 6-point favorite. The Mavericks are led by G Luka Doncic, who is averaging 34.6 points per game.

The Thunder lost to the Utah Jazz 124-117 Tuesday, failing to cover as a 3-point road favorite. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and 8 of their last 11. Oklahoma City has covered just 5 of those games though. It is 31-20 ATS on the season and 4-2 ATS in its last 6 home games. The Thunder are led by G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is averaging 31.1 points per game.

Thunder at Mavericks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Thunder -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Mavericks +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -2 (-110) | Mavericks +2 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 240.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Thunder at Mavericks key injuries


  • F Gordon Hayward (calf) out


  • G Luka Doncic (nose) probable
  • G Dante Exum (knee) out
  • G Kyrie Irving (thumb) out
  • C Dereck Lively II (nasal) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Thunder at Mavericks picks and predictions


Mavericks 117, Thunder 115



Dallas has been surging with Doncic and Irving both back in action. The Mavs have won 3 games in a row, beating the Knicks, 76ers and Nets all on the road over the last week. The Mavericks have won 5 of their last 8 and should have their superstars active.

The Thunder have a road loss to the Pistons and Jazz in their last 6 games. They are 3-3 straight up over those 6 and have struggled to cover, just 1-5 ATS as well. OKC has allowed 124 or more in 2 straight games. Its defense is a major concern against an incredibly efficient offense in Dallas.

Expect Dallas to keep its recent string of wins alive and take MAVERICKS (+108).

Against the spread


The home underdog moneyline play is the better value. Take it instead of the Mavs on the spread.


LEAN UNDER 240.5 (-110).

The Thunder are 3-4 O/U in their last 7 games. They have scored 110 or fewer in 4 of those and have allowed 107 or fewer in 4 as well.

Both teams will push the tempo, but neither sit in the top 8 in pace. The speed of how this game should be played doesn’t justify this high of a spread. The Mavs are 1-4 O/U in their last 5 games.

Considering the trends for both teams, take UNDER 240.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Access more NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Bulls Wire | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Spurs Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron WireRookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside.