Jan 21, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Kansas City running back Isiah Pacheco (10) celebrates after scoring a touchdown in the second half against the Buffalo Bills for the 2024 AFC divisional round game at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
- Should you be listening to Super Bowl betting trends before wagering on the big game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers?
- San Francisco is the 2-point chalk but Kansas City is 3-0 ATS this season as a betting underdog
- Check out this and many more Super Bowl betting trends in the following story
Let’s face it, Super Bowl betting trends are almost as abundant in existence as are methods to wager on Sunday’s big game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers.
The question is, should you be listening to them and following these trends? And the best answer is . . . maybe?
In the following Super Bowl betting trends story, we’ll look at a variety of these patterns, from the kooky to the statistically consistent, and let you ponder them before deciding how you’re going to wager on the big game. And when it comes time to place those big game wagers, be sure to check out the best Super Bowl betting promos first.
Winners Wear White
Based on the past two decades of Super Bowl history, the Chiefs are making an interesting wardrobe choice. By opting to go with their red jerseys, Kansas City is snubbing one of the more crazy Super Bowl trends.
Over the past 19 big games, the team wearing the white uniform is 16-3 straight up. However, there is some logic in what on the surface appears to be an illogical choice by Kansas City.
When the Chiefs faced the 49ers in the 2020 Super Bowl game, Kansas City wore red and won 31-21. In fact, in three Super Bowl appearances wearing their red jerseys, the Chiefs are 2-1 SU. However, the 49ers are also 2-1 SU when they wear their whites. Then again, that lone loss was to KC.
Chiefs Embrace Underdog Role
Kansas City is currently sitting as a 2-point underdog in the Super Bowl odds. Knowing the recent Super Bowl betting trends involving favorites, the Chiefs probably don’t mind this one bit.
For starters, KC is an NFL-best 3-0 against the spread as the betting underdog this season. In fact, the Chiefs have covered as an underdog in six successive games. They won last year’s Super Bowl game 38-35 over the Philadelphia Eagles as 1.5-point underdogs. Looking back at historical point spreads for the Super Bowl, KC is 2-1 SU and ATS as a betting underdog on Super Bowl Sunday.
Meanwhile, the 49ers must deal with the crutch that accompanies NFC favorites to the field for the big game. In the past 11 Super Bowls in which the NFC team kicked off as the favorite, those squads are a combined 1-8-2 ATS.
Totally Wild Super Bowl Betting Trends
If you’ve been listening to the pundits, the call on the total for the big game is to bet the under. This is understandable when you figure the game is matching the #2 (Kansas City) and #3 (San Francisco) defenses in the NFL. That suggests points could be at a premium. As well, the under has hit in four of the past five Super Bowls.
The under has hit in four of the last five Super Bowls 👀 pic.twitter.com/q3s8NPAr9G
— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) February 9, 2024
The Chiefs, of course, play in the AFC West. And there’s a Super Bowl betting trend involving that division suggesting a completely different play on the total based on ATS and over/under trends. It’s calling for you to wager on the over. The total has gone over in nine of the last 12 Super Bowls involving a team from the AFC West.
Tailing the Coin Toss Trends
The coin toss is in essence a 50-50 proposition and that’s pretty much how it’s played out over the first 57 Super Bowl games. Tails is holding a 30-27 lead in the Super Bowl coin toss results.
Kansas City won the toss before last year’s big game with Philly and went on to win the game. That ended an eight-year losing skid for the coin toss winner.
Overall, the Chiefs are 3-0 SU in the big game when the coin toss comes up tails. KC is 0-2 SU when the toss winds up heads. On the other hand, prior to both 49ers Super Bowl losses, the coin flip wound up heads.
McCaffrey, Pacheco Have Nose for Pay Dirt
Christian McCaffrey has proven to be a touchdown machine since San Francisco acquired the RB from the Carolina Panthers last season. He’s scored 33 TDs in 37 games for the 49ers.
In the NFL postseason, he’s been borderline virtually unstoppable. McCaffrey has scored a TD in each of his six career playoff games. He’s gone for a pair of TDs in both playoff games so far this year.
Just as much of a TD magnet of late has been Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco. Going back to Kansas City’s November 26 win over the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium, where Sunday’s big game is also being played, Pacheco has scored at least one TD in seven successive games.
If you’re looking to play an anytime TD prop on the big game, either of these guys look like safe bets. Perhaps even packaging them into a same-game parlay play wouldn’t be a bad strategy.
Reba Trends to Get It Done
There’s no better way to start a major sporting event than with an anthem singer who recognizes that nobody is tuning in or packing the stadium to see them. Reba McEntire is that kind of performer.
The National Anthem has gone OVER in four of the last five Super Bowls
Will Reba go Over 90.5 seconds on Sunday? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/wdSs9itZYE
— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) February 9, 2024
In historical national anthem length, it’s unlikely that McEntire will beat Neil Diamond’s Super Bowl record of 62 seconds. However, do a little research and betting the country star to go under the total of 90.5 seconds seems a fairly solid wager in Super Bowl betting trends.
Studying a video of McEntire performing the Star Spangled Banner at a 1997 MLB game, she went note to note in 81 seconds. Even at a slower pace for a 1999 NFL game between the Dallas Cowboys and Miami Dolphins, she hit the finishing note in 90 seconds.
Betting On the Color Purple
There’s a lot of action on the color purple. No, we’re not talking about the 2023 remake of the 1985 Oprah Winfrey film.
Purple is trending in Super Bowl bets as the most likely color of Gatorade to be dumped over the head of the winning coach at the conclusion of the big game.
Looking at Super Bowl Gatorade color history, the Chiefs doused coach Andy Reid with purple Gatorade after last year’s win. However, when they beat the 49ers in 2020, orange was the color poured all about Reid.
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.