Home » Super Bowl Matchup Betting: Which Receiving Yards Markets Stand Out?

Super Bowl Matchup Betting: Which Receiving Yards Markets Stand Out?

The Super Bowl is just days away, which means the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are ready to collide.

FanDuel Sportsbook is offering tons of unique betting markets for the big game. One of the most exciting markets for the Super Bowl is the player matchups market, pitting the best of the best against each other with everything on the line. Who will show up for the big game? That’s what we’re betting on.

We’re going to check out the receiving yards matchup markets on the player matchups tab at FanDuel Sportsbook. With so many different options with the top receivers on both sides, this should make for a fun market to dive into with moneylines, totals, and spreads to bet on.

Let’s take a look at the best bets to consider.

Super Bowl Matchup Betting: Receiving Yards Market Best Bets

Brandon Aiyuk vs. Deebo Samuel: Samuel ML (+100)

In a battle of who will shine more between the San Francisco 49ers’ top wide receivers, we’re siding with Deebo Samuel this time around.

We’re taking Samuel on the moneyline over Brandon Aiyuk due to expectations in this game. It’s the Super Bowl, and it’s already shown in the most important game of the playoffs thus far that it’s Samuel over Aiyuk when Brock Purdy needs it the most.

Aiyuk is a big play guy after averaging 17.9 yards per reception in the regular season. Had Aiyuki not brought in the batted ball against the Detroit Lions that should have been incomplete, his 68-yard day is likely a 17-yard day at best.

And against a tough passing defense like the Kansas City Chiefs have, it feels like it will be Samuel getting more chances on screens, drags, and other plays than Aiyuk will down the field.

numberFire’s scheduled-adjusted metrics rank the Chiefs as the second-best passing defense in all of football this season. While I do expect them to run the ball a lot, it’s still Samuel who should be the guy getting short looks to see if he can create the big play — as we’ve seen time and time again.

In the NFC Championship, Samuel outplayed Aiyuk after having eight catches compared to Aiyuk’s three, finishing with 89 receiving yards overall. With +100 odds, it leads us to take the moneyline rather than the spread of +3.5 with the chance to win more.

Marques Valdes-Scantling vs. Justin Watson: Valdes-Scantling -1.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

It’s the Super Bowl. More often than not, that means someone is going to make a big play that you may not expect. It makes this player matchup between Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Justin Watson feel incredibly fitting for the occasion.

After the big catch he had against the Baltimore Ravens, and his overall output compared to Watson, we have to go with MVS — especially at -1.5 to cover.

Valdes-Scantling is an all-or-nothing type of player. He’s either going to bring in the deep ball or drop — Patrick Mahomes would know. But he’s on the field more than Watson in these playoffs. That counts for something. MVS has a 57.9% snap share while Watson sits at 52.8%. It’s not too big of a difference, but it’s proven to be enough as their target share sides with Valdes-Scantling, as well (8.8% to 5.5%).

Through these three playoff games, Watson has been outdone by Valdes-Scantling twice, both of those happening in the last two games when it was a lot closer than the blowout of the Miami Dolphins.

With such a minor difference in the spread between them, but a clear difference in terms of what they do, it’s MVS all the way if you’re looking to bet on one of the Chiefs’ role players.

Rashee Rice vs. Brandon Aiyuk: Rice -5.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

The only receiving yards matchup for Rashee Rice comes against Aiyuk, and it’s best to side with the rookie.

Rice came on big time in the second half, playing a substantial part in why the Chiefs went from a sputtering offense to a Super Bowl-caliber attack in just a handful of games. Since Week 12, the rookie has a 27.5% target market share while averaging 82.3 receiving yards.

In that same period, Aiyuk has had just a 21.5% target share while averaging 67.9 receiving yards, so this only backs us up even more when it comes to Rice.

At the end of the day, there are just too many people to feed in the 49ers’ offense to have full trust in Aiyuk — especially over someone who has the role Rice does. Travis Kelce is all that Rice has to contend with in the passing game, and considering what we’ve seen in the playoffs, there are enough passes to go around to both of them.

If you’re interested in this market, take Rice with some confidence for the big game.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.